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DBI Today: 47.4 (−0.1)

Note: the DBI moved to a 6-pillar methodology on 25 May 2026. Pre-change scores shown for context only.

The US-Iran ceasefire talks stumbled again this week — Tehran suspended communications with Washington on Monday after fresh Israeli strikes in Lebanon, sending oil prices surging more than five percent before markets partially steadied. The DBI sits at 47.4, almost unchanged from yesterday's 47.5, but the stillness in the headline number masks a world that is genuinely divided: America's factories are humming at their best pace since 2022, yet services sentiment is fragile, consumers are at their most anxious on record, and the energy market is one diplomatic accident away from another leg higher. The stability is real but it is not comfortable — it is the stillness of a landscape where opposing forces happen to balance each other, not one where the headwinds have passed.

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